Mortgage Rate Forecast for June 14, 2010
Here are some of the events affecting mortgage rates today:
What Mortgage Backed Securities Are Doing Today:
- The price of the FNMA 30-Year 4.5% MBS coupon opened at 102.53 this morning - the same as Friday's close.
- At 9:30 AM, the 4.5% MBS coupon was trading at 102.28 - down 8/32 from its opening.
Remember, on mortgage backed securities (MBSs), as the price goes down, the yield goes up - and so do mortgage rates. I expect that mortgage rates will be up to 0.25 points worse in price this morning as compared to Friday.
Price Trend in Mortgage Backed Securities:
The chart below shows the price trend of the FNMA 30-Year 4.5% coupon over the past 30 days from 5-15-2010 to 6-14-2010:
Economic Reports, News, and Events Affecting Mortgage Interest Rates Today:
- There are no economic reports scheduled for release today.
Trend in Mortgage Rates:
The chart below shows the trend in mortgage rates over the past year:
Mortgage Rate Lock Advice:
Mortgage rates are again off their lows of the year. On Friday, the price of the FNMA 30-Year 4.5% Coupon closed at 102.53, 50 basis points lower than it's all-time high of 103.03. After the open this morning, the MBS coupon fell in price, and is now down 75 basis points from the all-time high. As a comparison, what that means is this: if a 30 year fixed mortgage rate was 4.75% with a 0.5 point on Friday, and if price of the MBS 4.5% coupon were to go as high as 103.03, then the best the 30 year fixed mortgage rate would be is 4.75% with no points today.
While it's still possible that mortgage rates could go even lower with the ongoing economic crisis in Europe, it won't be by much as fears of debt defaults in Europe are lessening. So, I would not risk the chance waiting for it.
If I was closing within the next 5 - 7 days, I would lock in the rate.
If you are closing in more than 7 days, send me an email to get my rate lock advice.
Be sure to check out today's mortgage rates.
East Bridgewater, MA 02333
Lew Corcoran, ASP®, IAHSP, IAHSP-CB